Polymarket

2024 - 11 - 4

Når valg og væddemål mødes: Polymarkets vilde rejse!

odds president 2024 Betting Ethics - Cryptocurrency - Donald Trump - Election Betting - Kamala Harris - Polymarket - Social Media Marketing - U.S. Elections - Web3 - odds president 2024

Polymarket sætter gang i spekulationerne ved det kommende valg med vilde odds mellem Trump og Harris! 🚀💰🤔

I takt med at den amerikanske præsidentvalgkamp nærmer sig sin afgørende dag, har oddsene taget nogle interessante drejninger på såkaldte voksende platforme som Polymarket. Med mere end $50.000 investeret i sociale medier for at promovere deres væddemål, er Polymarkets annoncer ingen almindelig besked – de har været kontroversielle og til tider forvirrende for dagens vælgere. Annoncerne, der ikke altid tydeligt markerer de odds, de repræsenterer, har efterladt mange undrende over, hvor meget væddemål egentlig kan påvirke valgresultatet.

I dagene før valget er der sket nogle forbløffende ændringer i oddsene mellem Donald Trump og vicepræsident Kamala Harris. Med blot en dag til det store valg, ser Harris’ odds ud til at stige markant, hvilket har fjernet et stykke af Trumps tidligere førerskab. Ifølge Polymarket er Harris’ chancer steget med hele 8 procentpoint siden slutningen af oktober, hvilket gør spændingen blandt crypto-bettende endnu større. Dette har fået analyser og politologer til at diskutere, hvordan cryptocurrency kan påvirke mere end bare dagens markeder, men også dét politiske landskab.

Men hvad sker der så med Bitcoin, hvis Trump vinder? De virtuelle væddemål er uden tvivl en vigtig del af det moderne valgæra, og speculation om hvordan prisen på Bitcoin kan blive påvirket af valgresultaterne, tilføjer et ekstra lag til de allerede nervepirrende udsigter. Det er blevet klart, at mens mange platforme som Polymarket og Kalshi er populært blandt økonomiske entusiaster, kan de også fungere som barometre for vælgernes psykologiske tendenser.

I takt med at valget nærmer sig, bliver det mere tydeligt, at mange vælgere i stigende grad ser på både odds og meningsmålinger, når de træffer beslutninger i stemmeboksen. Uanset hvordan det ender, er én ting sikkert: de usædvanlige interaktioner mellem væddemål, valuta og politik skaber et frugtbart grundlag for fremtidige analyser.

Vidste du i øvrigt, at online væddemål har eksisteret siden 2000'erne, men først for alvor fik en boom under valgkampene i 2016? Derudover er det særligt interessant at bemærke, at de såkaldte "prediction markets" i mange år har været et redskab for økonomer, som har ønsket at forstå vælgeradfærd. Så det næste gang du overvejer at spille på valgresultater, husk at velovervejede odds kan være mere end blot underholdning – de siger måske noget dybere om vores samfund!

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Image courtesy of "NBC News"

Polymarket spends over $50000 on election betting social media ads (NBC News)

The advertisements from Polymarket have been controversial, with some of them not being clearly marked as reflecting odds that are based on bets.

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Image courtesy of "Blockchain News"

Polymarket Election Odds Tighten Between Trump and Harris ... (Blockchain News)

Blockchain News, Opinion, TV and Jobs – News – With Americans soon to take to the polls in tomorrow's highly anticipated U.S. presidential election, ...

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Image courtesy of "Latin Times"

Polymarket 1 Day Before US Elections: Kamala Harris' Chances ... (Latin Times)

Polymarket is heating up with just one day left before the elections, and it appears the vice president still hasn't lost touch with crypto bettors as they ...

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Image courtesy of "crypto.news"

With the US election only a day away, Trump, Harris getting closer ... (crypto.news)

The odds of winning the U.S. presidential elections—scheduled for tomorrow, Nov. 5—between former president Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris ...

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Image courtesy of "Forbes"

Trump's Betting Market Lead Narrowed Over The Weekend—But He ... (Forbes)

Swings in the betting markets favoring Vice President Kamala Harris over the weekend were triggered by a key poll showing the Democrat ahead in the solidly ...

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Image courtesy of "Newsweek"

Kamala Harris' chances of winning election skyrocket in final days (Newsweek)

Polymarket says the vice president's chances have improved by 8 points since October 30, while Donald Trump is still favorite.

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Image courtesy of "Bloomberg"

Online Election Prediction Markets Kalshi, Polymarket Seen ... (Bloomberg)

Economists have long loved prediction markets. Even niche platforms such as the Iowa Electronic Markets and betting pools inside companies like Ford Motor ...

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Image courtesy of "AMBCrypto"

Trump leads Harris on Polymarket; Bitcoin's price will be affected IF… (AMBCrypto)

As Election Day nears, prediction markets favor Trump, but suspicion, crypto influence, and Bitcoin volatility linger...

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Image courtesy of "BNN"

Polymarket Paid US Social Media Influencers For Election Content (BNN)

The predictions-betting platform Polymarket has been paying US-based social media influencers to promote election betting on the site — even though it's ...

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Image courtesy of "Bloomberg"

Polymarket Paid US Social Media Influencers For Election Content (Bloomberg)

The predictions-betting platform Polymarket has been paying US-based social media influencers to promote election betting on the site — even though it's ...

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Image courtesy of "crypto.news"

Polymarket runs election betting ads via influencers despite US ... (crypto.news)

Polymarket has partnered with US-based influencers to promote election betting despite a federal ban on American users placing wagers on the platform.

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Image courtesy of "Business Insider"

Polymarket 'whale' betting on Trump is down $3 million after odds shift (Business Insider)

The Polymarket "whale" is stuck in his trades due to the massive size of his bets and the relatively low liquidity of the betting markets.

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Image courtesy of "DL News"

Here's how much the Polymarket election whale stands to win — or ... (DL News)

But if Trump loses the US election on Tuesday, he'll be out $26 million. And that's just one of his political wagers. Stay ahead of the game with our weekly ...

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Image courtesy of "Benzinga"

Donald Trump's Latest Polymarket Whale Could Win Almost $10 ... (Benzinga)

A new whale trader has become Donald Trump's biggest shareholder in Polymarket's 2024 presidential election winner market.

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Image courtesy of "Coindesk"

U.S. Election Betting: Polymarket 'Manipulation' Claims Miss the Mark (Coindesk)

The manipulation narrative is an attempt by mainstream media to discredit Polymarket's election odds and control the narrative, one expert said.

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Image courtesy of "Nairametrics"

What is Polymarket and how did it become the biggest predictor of ... (Nairametrics)

Polymarket, a crypto betting platform where users stake money on the outcome of events has become the defacto Poll of the US general elections with millions of ...

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Image courtesy of "BeInCrypto"

Election Betting : Polymarket Whale Dumps Donald Trump Wagers (BeInCrypto)

Polymarket whale "larpas" offloaded $3 million in Donald Trump bets after GCR hinted at market manipulation.

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Image courtesy of "Sportscasting"

Polymarket Election Betting: Best Alternatives For Betting In 2024 (Sportscasting)

How does Polymarket stack up against the other outlets that are taking bets and wagers on the 2024 Election?

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Image courtesy of "CryptoNewsZ"

Polymarket Paid U.S Influencers for Promotions Despite Ban (CryptoNewsZ)

Polymarket, a prediction-betting platform that was covering the presidential race odds recently is under scrutiny. The platform had been recruiting US-based ...

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Image courtesy of "Fortune"

Polymarket paid U.S. social media influencers for election content (Fortune)

The majority are meme pages with account names like @moist and @hoodclips, while others are personal finance influencers such as Eric Pan of @ericnomics.

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Image courtesy of "Forbes"

Election Betting Odds: How The Market Prices Harris And Trump Wins (Forbes)

With polls closing in mere hours, betting markets firmly favor former President Donald Trump to secure a second presidential term, though poll-based ...

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Image courtesy of "Yahoo Finance UK"

Polymarket users who bet on the presidential election might not see ... (Yahoo Finance UK)

Although Polymarket still shows a big lead for Donald Trump, the cryptocurrency-based prediction market added a message warning users about how long it ...

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Image courtesy of "Forbes"

Polymarket's $3.2 Billion Election Bet Shows Web3 Potential (Forbes)

Web3 prediction platform Polymarket beats its TradFi alternatives, showing mainstream users how blockchain can improve betting.

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Image courtesy of "Axios"

Why prediction markets swung toward Harris before Election Day (Axios)

Why it matters: Volatility like this underlines why using betting markets to gauge the status of the presidential race is tricky. And yet, prediction and ...

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Image courtesy of "Reuters"

Cryptoverse: U.S. election speculators play the prediction markets (Reuters)

Donald Trump is a clear favorite to beat Kamala Harris - that's if you put your faith in prediction markets, the latest frontier for the indefatigable ...

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Image courtesy of "The Crypto Times"

Polymarket and Kalshi: Trump leading against Harris with 60% (The Crypto Times)

As United States began voting on November 5 for the next president, the betting platforms like polymarket and kalshi have been bullish on Trump.

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Image courtesy of "Fortune"

Polymarket users who bet on the presidential election might not see ... (Fortune)

Although Polymarket still shows a big lead for Donald Trump, the cryptocurrency-based prediction market added a message warning users about how long it ...

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Image courtesy of "CryptoGlobe"

Polymarket Reportedly Paid US Content Creators for Election ... (CryptoGlobe)

Popular predictions market Polymarket has reportedly been paying social media influencers based in the United States to promote election-related content ...

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Image courtesy of "CryptoGlobe"

Polymarket Betting on 2024 Election Surges Past $3 Billion, with ... (CryptoGlobe)

The highly-anticipated 2024 US Presidential election has seen the trading volume of bets on who is going to win it in leading prediction market Polymarket ...

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Image courtesy of "Cointelegraph"

Polymarket payouts to be delayed unless Fox, NBC agree on US ... (Cointelegraph)

Polymarket may not be able to pay out a winner in the 2024 US presidential election until Inauguration Day on Jan. 20, 2025.

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Image courtesy of "Fortune"

Polymarket users have wagered $3.2 billion on the outcome of the ... (Fortune)

The majority of bets were for Donald Trump, with $1.3 billion wagered on the former president and $827 million on Vice President Kamala Harris.

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