ARLINGTON, VIRGINIA, US — Tyllor Ledford has been promoted to market analyst for US Wheat Associates (USW) after serving as assistant director of the West ...
Ledford joined USW after completing both bachelor’s and master’s degrees in agricultural and applied economics from Texas Tech University. Tyllor has the educational background and people skills to excel in this position.” “Providing global and domestic market analysis, including unique information on US wheat export pricing, is an important part of our trade service effort.
The latest Commitments of Traders report showed commercials net long in all three U.S. wheats as of Jan. 10. The positions are strong hints of wheat's value ...
If you don't want to take my word for it, at least listen to the commercials now long in wheat, a recognition of good value by the firms that know wheat demand best. My two cents for the specs out there holding short obligations in wheat you don't own, consider yourself lucky and get out while you can. Of everything I just explained about why wheat deserves a higher price in the market, the frosting on the cake arrived last Friday when the Commitments of Traders report showed commercials net long 12,830 contracts of KC wheat, 43,529 contracts of Chicago wheat and 2,147 contracts of Minneapolis wheat -- all as of Jan. The 259 mb bluff of supplies promised, but not actually owned by specs has created a disconnect between the current situation and the higher prices low wheat supplies would normally reflect, if specs were not distorting the market. In the current situation, if we go by USDA's cost of production estimates for all wheat in the U.S. of $420.06 an acre in 2022 and divide by the 2022-23 yield of 46.5 bushels per acre, we get an average production cost of $9.03 a bushel for all U.S. 1, it was the lowest total for that date in 15 years and supported USDA's assertion that U.S. This disconnect between the futures market and the real world is a great commission generator for brokers and exchanges, but also distorts market prices and threatens the financial integrity of the exchange. 19 pegged DTN's national index of cash SRW wheat at $6.94 and the index for cash HRW wheat at $8.01 -- both well below USDA's estimated production cost. These promises were made by people not in the wheat business and may not even know what a wheat stalk looks like. As you might have guessed, I'm referring to wheat prices and the stubborn bearish sentiment that seems to be plaguing traders, especially the past couple months. For the record, I've never favored throwing supply and demand out completely; especially in ag markets where demand is essential -- available supply matters.
The current wheat market is fractionally to 1 3/4 cents higher in SRW contracts through Thursday's midday. In the KC HRW market, midday quotes have futures ...
[Alan Brugler](https://www.barchart.com/news/authors/6/alan-brugler)did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. New crop wheat sales are expected to be under 75k MT for the week. In the KC HRW market, midday quotes have futures fractionally to 1 1/4 cents higher. The current wheat market is fractionally to 1 3/4 cents higher in SRW contracts through Thursday’s midday. Their 2022 full year wheat imports were a record 9.96 MMT. That was a 300k MT increase from their prior outlook.
USDA came out with its supply and demand report on Jan. 12, but that report didn't seem to have much impact on the spring wheat market as prices stayed in.
Following a bumper 2022 harvest, on top of relatively subdued demand, the UK is expected to have a substantial exportable surplus of wheat this season.
While AHDB seeks to ensure that the information contained on this webpage is accurate at the time of publication, no warranty is given in respect of the information and data provided. All intellectual property rights in the information and data on this webpage belong to or are licensed by AHDB. This takes UK wheat exports in the season to date (Jul-Nov) up to 432.2Kt. To the maximum extent permitted by law, AHDB accepts no liability for loss, damage or injury howsoever caused or suffered (including that caused by negligence) directly or indirectly in relation to the information or data provided in this publication. You are authorised to use such information for your internal business purposes only and you must not provide this information to any other third parties, including further publication of the information, or for commercial gain in any way whatsoever without the prior written permission of AHDB for each third party disclosure, publication or commercial arrangement. With trade data now available for the season up to November, are UK wheat exports progressing at a pace fast enough to avoid large ending stocks? Simply fill in your contact details on our online form and select the information you wish to receive. While this is the largest amount exported for this point in the season since 2019/20, it remains relatively low when compared with other seasons that had a c.2Mt exportable surplus. Whether this will happen or not is yet to be known. Pressure was also felt from downward movements in soyabean markets on the back of improved weather in Argentina. European rapeseed markets fell following a proposal from the German environment minister to retract the usage of crop-based biofuel in the country. Meanwhile, US wheat markets followed maize markets lower on profit-taking and rains in Argentina easing dryness concerns.
With prices falling back at the start of 2023, Cedric Porter takes a look at the prospects for the grain markets. Twitter Facebook ...
A six per cent weakening of the pound against the euro and 11 per cent weakening against the US dollar over the last year has also made British wheat more attractive. There are relatively plentiful stocks of wheat in both the UK and the world. It is only location of those stocks and uncertainty that is holding up prices” It will influence the Brazilian corn and soya crop that is Russia’s 2022 wheat crop is estimated by some at a record of more than 100 million tonnes and the country had major orders from Turkey and Egypt earlier this month. However, it is still more expensive than Black sea wheat.”
TOKYO -- What looks to be a record-breaking year for wheat production in Australia has brought down international prices driven up by poor weather and.
Concerns that heavy rainfall during the harvest season might affect quality did not change the USDA's forecast. The U.S. Department of Agriculture expects Australia to produce 36.6 million tonnes of wheat in its 2022-23 marketing year, an all-time high.
Wheat markets made a jump higher to close the week, despite early estimates for wheat acreage expected to be significantly higher than last year.
US wheat futures advanced Friday, erasing early losses after US Department of Agriculture (USDA) data showed that sales surged last week, surpassing the ...